Raw model cost per 1M tokens — the inputs everything else derives from.
| Parameter | Type | Value | Unit | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model name | given | Displayed in pricing table notes (e.g. Claude Sonnet, GPT-4o) | ||
| Input token price | given | $ / 1M tokens | — — standard prompt & context | |
| Cached input token price | given | $ / 1M tokens | Prompt caching — reused system prompts & templates | |
| Output token price | given | $ / 1M tokens | — — generated diligence response | |
| Revenue markup multiplier | assumption | × | Applied to raw API cost to set customer price | |
| Implied gross margin | — | % | Formula: 1 − (1 ÷ markup) | |
External API costs used in session workflows, tracked separately from LLM token costs.
| API | Type | Price | Unit | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavily | given | $ / credit | Web search API — per-query credit model |
Token counts for both session types. The max uplift % applies to the blended cost and drives the optimistic TAM.
| Parameter | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Max session uplift | assumption | % |
| Session / Token Type | Type | Tokens | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Session | |||
| Input | assumption | — | |
| Cached input | assumption | — | |
| Output | assumption | — | |
| Total — Standard | — | — (at markup: —) |
|
| Deep Research Session | |||
| Input | assumption | — | |
| Cached input | assumption | — | |
| Output | assumption | — | |
| Total — Deep Research | — | — (at markup: —) |
|
| Blended Cost | |||
| Standard mix | assumption | % | — |
| Deep research mix (—%) | — | — | |
| Blended cost — base | — | ||
| Deep max (—) | — | ||
| Blended cost — max (—) | — | ||
Credit unit is the billing reference — 1 credit = creditUnit tokens of compute. creditRaw is the cost floor per credit; set so the average Neo Interactions session consumes ~3.9 credits at current LLM prices.
| Parameter | Type | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit unit size | assumption | tokens | Reference token count per credit |
| Credit raw cost | assumption | $ per credit — API cost floor | |
| Credit at markup | — | creditRaw × markup |
| Token Type | Type | Tokens | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresh input | observed | — | |
| Cached input | observed | — | |
| Output | observed | — | |
| Avg session cost | — | ||
| Credits per avg session | — | ||
Workflows per user type per month. Fund spend is derived from team composition × per-user rates.
| User Type | Type | Sessions/mo | Std | Deep | Mo. spend | Yr. spend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy analyst Daily screener, 40+ deals/mo |
assumption | — | — | — | — | |
| Moderate analyst Active but not full-time screening |
assumption | — | — | — | — | |
| Principal Senior deal lead, strategic evaluation |
assumption | — | — | — | — | |
| Partner Spot checks, gut-verify signals |
assumption | — | — | — | — |
| Fund Profile | Heavy Analysts | Moderate Analysts | Principals | Partners | Total users |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Small | — | ||||
| Average ★ | — | ||||
| Active | — | ||||
| High-volume | — |
| Fund Profile | Sessions/mo | Monthly spend (base) | Yearly spend (base) |
|---|
★ Average fund profile used as basis for competitive comparison and TAM estimates. Workflow counts are derived from team composition × per-user rates.
Base uses Average★ fund spend at the base blended session cost. Optimistic applies the max session uplift % to the higher fund count.
| Scenario | Type | Active funds | Avg yearly spend | ARR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base ★ | assumption | — | — | |
| Optimistic (—) | assumption | — | — |
★ Base case. Base ARPU = Average★ fund spend at base session cost. Optimistic ARPU = Average★ fund spend at max session cost (base × (1 + uplift%)).
Solo angel investors as a separately addressable segment. ARPU is computed from workflow count × blended cost — not a fixed assumption.
| Parameter | Type | Value | Unit | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monthly workflows per angel Own screening & research, no analyst team |
assumption | workflows/mo | Adjust to hit desired ARPU target | |
| Angel ARPU — monthly | — | $/mo | = workflows × blended cost per workflow | |
| Angel ARPU — yearly | — | $/yr | = monthly × 12 |
| Scenario | Type | Active angels | ARR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | assumption | — | |
| Base ★ | assumption | — | |
| Optimistic | assumption | — |
Angel count basis: Conservative ~30K realistic early adopters; Base 66K = ACA active angel estimate; Optimistic 150K = broader active angel universe. All use the same computed ARPU above.
| Scenario | VC ARR | Angel ARR | Combined ARR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base ★ | — | — | — |
| Optimistic | — | — | — |
Multi-stage funds, PE, family offices, and corporate VC not included — see Section H below for excluded segment estimates.
Multi-stage VC, PE, family offices, and corporate VC. Each segment ARPU = Average VC Fund Annual Spend × Usage Multiplier. All inputs are editable; ARPU and TAM cells are fully derived.
| Segment | Type | Firm Count | ARPU Multiplier | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multi-stage & larger VC | assumption | More deals, larger teams; near-term expansion | ||
| Private equity (venture/growth arms) | assumption | Intensive diligence; longer sales cycles | ||
| Family offices (direct deals) | assumption | Parity with early-stage VC (conservative) | ||
| Corporate VC units | assumption | Moderate deal flow; slow procurement |
| Segment | Type | Implied ARPU/yr | Firm Count | Segment TAM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multi-stage & larger VC | derived | — | — | — |
| Private equity | derived | — | — | — |
| Family offices | derived | — | — | — |
| Corporate VC | derived | — | — | — |
| Total — Excluded Segments | — | |||
| Component | TAM | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Early-stage VC (base) | — | Primary model — Average★ fund profile |
| Angel investors (base) | — | Primary model — 66k angels |
| Excluded segments | — | Ballpark — see Section H above |
| Grand Total (Base Case) | — | Theoretical ceiling, not near-term forecast |
| Component | TAM | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Early-stage VC (optimistic) | — | Higher fund count × max session cost (+—%) |
| Angel investors (optimistic) | — | Broader angel universe × max session cost |
| Excluded segments | — | Same ballpark as base — no separate optimistic variant |
| Grand Total (Optimistic Case) | — | Theoretical ceiling, not near-term forecast |
ARPU multipliers are the key levers here. Adjust them as real-world usage data from analogous segments becomes available. See Excluded Segments Appendix for full detail.